Newbury, Berkshire RG14 6HL Always available, except when sleeping, or on a rare away day. I will attempt to respond to most emails within 24 hours.

Some late winter warmth?

Click on the reblogged from Matt Hugo link above for the rest of the post.

The effect this upcoming spell of weather will have on Phenology events will be most interesting. Some potentially record-breaking Temperatures could occur in the South of the United Kingdom. Given some sunshine, Bees, Butterflies and Blooms will be the most likely candidates, alongside the early migrant birds brought in by the Southwesterly flow.

Fascinating times ahead.

Regards, Tony Powell

Well the phrase “In like a lion, out like a lamb” could well sum up February by the looks.  Clearly the first half of the month or the opening week or two experience a far different spell of weather than experience so far through the winter given a continental feed of cold or very cold air across the UK.  The difference between earlier in the month and the coming week will be significant!…

The latest FAX chart for Thursday helps to highlight the reason why;

The synoptic evolution through this week will be characterised by high pressure to the south or south-west of the UK and low pressure systems developing and passing to the north and north-west through the week.  The combination of these two synoptic features later in the week will be for the development of a very mild and moist south-westerly air mass from the Azores.  I highlighted…

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2 thoughts on “Some late winter warmth?

    1. Hi Finn,

      This impending drought situation has been talked about in the weather and climate forums for many months now. I always find it curious as to what the thresholds are, for when the government is happy to announce these news snippets. Nevertheless, the worrying trend, more especially for the overpopulated South and Southeast continues to be for a desperate lack of useful rain. If you see this post here –
      You can see only four out of the last ten years produced anything near normal or above in terms of annual rainfall. This appears to ring true for both the Cambridgeshire area and Berkshire.

      As for now, the latest models (longer term) hint at some rain, however in general, the Air Pressure will be too high weakening the fronts coming from the West or North. Of course, this may all change.

      All The Best and speak soon.

      Tony Powell

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